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King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense

3.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.9%Range (90% confident): 46.9% – 47.0%Based on 3.4M games
0%46.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.9% – 47.0%
Outcome Distribution
44.5%4.8%50.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...e5
King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense
Analyzen=3.4M
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 46.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.9% and 47.0%), based on 3.4M Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~45%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.0% win rate (380,448 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.1% win rate (510,706 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.6% win rate (565,600 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.3% win rate (564,468 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.0% win rate (516,210 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (446,806 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (265,339 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.0% win rate (112,213 games)
  • 2500+: 43.4% win rate (15,856 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.8% win rate (17,040 games)
  • Bullet: 46.5% win rate (1,298,264 games)
  • Blitz: 43.6% win rate (1,530,931 games)
  • Rapid: 42.1% win rate (512,725 games)
  • Classical: 40.1% win rate (18,686 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (663 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (79,606 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (215,962 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (83,590 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (627 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (1,537 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (127,393 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (259,495 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (119,844 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (2,437 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (3,954 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (178,963 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (262,137 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (115,147 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (5,399 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (5,144 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (218,962 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (250,050 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (84,339 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (5,973 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (3,903 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (229,354 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (222,562 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (57,489 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 40.1% expected score (2,902 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (1,168 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (216,759 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (193,561 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (34,325 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (993 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (448 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (152,978 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (96,238 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (15,372 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (303 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (212 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (80,010 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (29,356 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (2,584 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (51 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (14,239 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (1,570 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 33.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Leonardis Variation
48.7%
King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack
51.8%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: McConnell Defense
50.0%
King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack
50.5%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (511K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (54.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.7%) by 4.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense?

The King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 380K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 511K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 566K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 564K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 516K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 447K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 265K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 112K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.3%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-49.9%) win rate for white (1.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate for white (1.5M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.3%) win rate for white (513K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.7%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.