King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack
6.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
52.4%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.
Measured over 6.0M games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 6.0M games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 6.0M
- Best context
- 55.4% at 2000-2199 Rapid
- Worst context
- 46.6% at 1400-1599 Classical
- Average game length
- 31 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.3%
- Draws
- 3.7%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 51.9% at 0-999, 45.5% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (4,113 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (260,907 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (655,657 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (328,220 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (2,893 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (9,363 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (280,150 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (734,618 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (297,735 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (8,044 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (13,353 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (320,668 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (741,944 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (281,556 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (12,500 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (11,920 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (294,404 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (574,038 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (223,765 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13,766 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (4,075 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (229,589 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (255,008 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (111,689 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (5,211 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (1,048 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (128,449 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (80,710 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (23,684 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (712 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.1% expected score (32 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (48,852 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (11,105 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (2,217 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (72 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (12,129 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (1,716 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (125 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (291 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (414 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack scores 52.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.4% and 52.5% — from 6.0M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 6.0M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate?
Playing the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack, White wins 50.5%, draws 3.7% and loses 45.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 6.0M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack perform best?
The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 53.6% (14K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 52.4% in Blitz (3.1M games) against 51.3% in Rapid (1.3M games).
How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack?
The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 50.0%, draws 3.7% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 1.3M Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 50.8%, draws 3.6% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 1.3M Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 50.8%, draws 3.6% and loses 45.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 1.4M Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 50.3%, draws 3.8% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 1.1M Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 50.8%, draws 3.9% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 606K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 50.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 235K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 50.0%, draws 4.0% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.0%. It rests on 62K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 51.5%, draws 4.2% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 17.9%, draws 66.0% and loses 16.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 716 Lichess games, which average 51 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 53.5%, draws 1.4% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 44K Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 52.2%, draws 2.1% and loses 45.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 1.6M Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 50.3%, draws 4.2% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 3.1M Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 49.0%, draws 4.6% and loses 46.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 1.3M Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 47.1%, draws 4.7% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 43K Lichess games.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack a good opening?
The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 50.5% of its games and loses 45.8%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.