King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack
9.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
53.9%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.
Measured over 9.1M games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 9.1M games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 9.1M
- Best context
- 58.7% at 1600-1799 UltraBullet
- Worst context
- 45.9% at 1400-1599 UltraBullet
- Average game length
- 30 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.9%
- Draws
- 4.1%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 53.5% at 0-999, 57.9% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (2,706 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (300,420 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (1,515,780 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (1,030,453 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (6,487 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (4,691 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (268,032 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (1,200,030 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (816,159 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (21,232 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (4,199 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (241,666 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (954,568 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (602,662 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (34,785 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.9% expected score (2,370 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (189,804 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (612,863 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (349,629 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (30,088 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (584 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (107,039 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (319,078 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (166,908 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (8,793 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.8% expected score (46 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (68,088 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (116,650 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (41,401 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (1,278 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (29,288 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (24,660 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (4,855 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (232 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 73.6% expected score (7 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (17,782 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (6,450 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (718 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (2,639 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (724 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (47 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack scores 53.9% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 53.8% and 53.9% — from 9.1M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 9.1M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate?
Playing the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack, White wins 51.8%, draws 4.1% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 9.1M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack perform best?
The King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 57.5% (25K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 54.0% in Blitz (4.8M games) against 53.3% in Rapid (3.0M games).
How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack?
The King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 51.7%, draws 4.2% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 2.9M Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 51.7%, draws 3.9% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 2.3M Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 51.8%, draws 3.9% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 1.8M Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 51.1%, draws 4.0% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 1.2M Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 52.8%, draws 4.4% and loses 42.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.0%. It rests on 602K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 53.8%, draws 4.7% and loses 41.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.2%. It rests on 227K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 54.3%, draws 4.6% and loses 41.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.6%. It rests on 59K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 54.8%, draws 5.3% and loses 39.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.5%. It rests on 25K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 50.2%, draws 11.9% and loses 37.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.2%. It rests on 3.4K Lichess games, which average 42 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 51.3%, draws 1.1% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 15K Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 54.0%, draws 2.0% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.0%. It rests on 1.2M Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 51.8%, draws 4.2% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 4.8M Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 50.9%, draws 4.7% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 3.0M Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 48.7%, draws 4.5% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 103K Lichess games.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack a good opening?
The King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.8% of its games and loses 44.1%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.