King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit
16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
42.9%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 43.6%.
Measured over 16K games at this level and clock.
White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 16K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 16K
- Best context
- 47.9% at 1600-1799 Blitz
- Worst context
- 35.9% at 1400-1599 Rapid
- Average game length
- 29 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.4%
- Draws
- 3.6%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 38.4% at 0-999, 53.1% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.2% expected score (624 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (2,549 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (2,409 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.2% expected score (28 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (436 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (1,436 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.9% expected score (1,224 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (58 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (329 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (1,095 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (886 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.4% expected score (80 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (335 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (827 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 35.9% expected score (648 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 24.2% expected score (105 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (248 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (661 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (321 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (260 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (641 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (213 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (187 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (386 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 38.2% expected score (66 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (138 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (93 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (58 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit scores 42.9% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 42.3% and 43.6% — from 16K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 16K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate?
Playing the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit, White wins 41.1%, draws 3.6% and loses 55.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.9%. It rests on 16K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit perform best?
The King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit performs best for White at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 47.6% (1.3K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 43.4% in Blitz (7.7K games) against 42.5% in Rapid (5.8K games).
How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit?
The King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 39.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 56.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.9%. It rests on 5.6K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 40.7%, draws 3.3% and loses 56.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.4%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 42.5%, draws 3.0% and loses 54.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.0%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 37.7%, draws 3.5% and loses 58.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.4%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 45.7%, draws 3.8% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 43.2%, draws 3.3% and loses 53.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 45.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 51.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 642 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 44.1%, draws 5.4% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 249 Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 42.9%, draws 1.7% and loses 55.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.8%. It rests on 2.6K Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 41.6%, draws 3.6% and loses 54.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.4%. It rests on 7.7K Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 40.3%, draws 4.4% and loses 55.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.5%. It rests on 5.8K Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 27.4%, draws 4.4% and loses 68.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 29.6%. It rests on 307 Lichess games.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit a good opening?
The King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 41.1% of its games and loses 55.3%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.