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King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit

55K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

50.6%

45%55%
Floor50.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.0%.

Measured over 55K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 2.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 55K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
55K
Best context
52.5% at 2000-2199 Bullet
Worst context
47.5% at 2200-2499 Bullet
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
97.3%
Draws
2.7%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 41.6% at 0-999, 49.1% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (486 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (1,310 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (460 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (981 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (2,286 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (827 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,845 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (3,696 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (1,263 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.7% expected score (157 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,955 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (6,082 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (1,444 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.4% expected score (58 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.1% expected score (74 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (4,100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (7,424 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (1,981 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.5% expected score (80 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (4,218 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (6,141 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (1,268 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.0% expected score (54 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (2,488 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (1,746 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (235 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (635 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (130 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (28 games)

Related Openings

Analyze King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit scores 50.6% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.3% and 51.0% — from 55K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
55K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate?

Playing the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit, Black wins 49.3%, draws 2.7% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 55K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit performs best for Black at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 51.5% (14K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 50.6% in Blitz (29K games) against 49.7% in Rapid (7.5K games).

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit?

The King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 47.5%, draws 3.8% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 2.3K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 48.7%, draws 2.4% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 4.1K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 48.9%, draws 2.6% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 6.9K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 49.4%, draws 2.6% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 50.1%, draws 2.7% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 49.2%, draws 2.4% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 49.2%, draws 3.0% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 4.5K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 45.4%, draws 3.7% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 775 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 43.5%, draws 0.2% and loses 56.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.6%. It rests on 280 Lichess games.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 50.3%, draws 1.8% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 18K Lichess games.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 49.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 29K Lichess games.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 47.8%, draws 3.8% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 7.5K Lichess games.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 52.7%, draws 4.6% and loses 42.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.1%. It rests on 246 Lichess games.

Is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 49.3% of its games and loses 48.1%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.