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King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed

250K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.9%Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.0%Based on 250K games
0%49.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.0%
Outcome Distribution
48.4%3.0%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f5
King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed
Analyzen=250K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 49.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.7% and 50.0%), based on 250K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +4.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.5% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.9% win rate (16,320 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.6% win rate (23,927 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.8% win rate (37,152 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.3% win rate (48,551 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (53,219 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (43,704 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (20,590 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.5% win rate (5,846 games)
  • 2500+: 42.5% win rate (449 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (53%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.0% win rate (1,960 games)
  • Bullet: 48.6% win rate (109,019 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (113,645 games)
  • Rapid: 48.4% win rate (24,372 games)
  • Classical: 52.6% win rate (762 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (4,076 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (8,780 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (3,409 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (7,512 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (12,402 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (3,841 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (74 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (224 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (13,799 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (18,380 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (4,577 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (172 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.9% expected score (986 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (18,078 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (23,943 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (5,287 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (257 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 36.5% expected score (478 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (22,034 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (26,170 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (4,360 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (177 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.6% expected score (111 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (23,520 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (17,715 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (2,310 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (14,534 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (5,471 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (555 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (5,048 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (754 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (418 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (30 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Leonardis Variation
48.7%
King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack
51.8%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: McConnell Defense
50.0%
King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack
50.5%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 250K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (449 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (52.3%) outperforms Classical (43.8%) by 8.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed?

The King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.1%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 449 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.4%-54.1%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.5%) win rate for white (109K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.5%) win rate for white (114K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.1%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed has a 43.8% (90% CI: 40.9%-46.8%) win rate for white (762 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.