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King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit

117K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.5%Based on 117K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
49.9%2.8%47.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nc6
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit
Analyzen=117K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 51.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.0% and 51.5%), based on 117K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +5.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.8% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.1% win rate (12,662 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.5% win rate (16,864 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.2% win rate (21,171 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.6% win rate (22,817 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (20,577 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (14,922 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.4% win rate (6,128 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.0% win rate (1,544 games)
  • 2500+: 37.9% win rate (145 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.8% win rate (901 games)
  • Bullet: 51.3% win rate (29,453 games)
  • Blitz: 49.7% win rate (57,146 games)
  • Rapid: 48.7% win rate (28,388 games)
  • Classical: 43.3% win rate (942 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.6% expected score (90 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (4,009 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (5,083 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (3,448 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 23.2% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 64.8% expected score (168 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (4,927 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (8,236 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (3,443 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 41.8% expected score (90 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 62.8% expected score (202 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (4,907 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (10,573 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (5,357 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (132 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.5% expected score (229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (4,950 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (11,261 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (6,158 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (219 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (137 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (4,315 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (10,863 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (5,038 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (224 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.0% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (3,565 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (7,601 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (3,528 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.7% expected score (171 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,884 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (2,921 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (1,240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.2% expected score (66 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (782 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (578 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (175 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (114 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 31.0% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Leonardis Variation
48.7%
King's Pawn Game: Wayward Queen Attack
51.8%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: McConnell Defense
50.0%
King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack
50.5%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 117K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (6.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (51.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (41.1%) by 10.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit?

The King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 47.5%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 145 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 41.1% (90% CI: 38.4%-43.8%) win rate for white (901 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.2%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.6%) win rate for white (57K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.6%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-54.6%) win rate for white (942 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.