What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 49.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 49.0%), based on 7.0M Lichess games.
7.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 49.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 49.0%), based on 7.0M Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 46% → 27%
Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.0M rated games from Lichess.
The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 47.4% win rate for white (1.4M games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (49.1%) outperforms Classical (45.0%) by 4.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 478K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.7%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 849K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2M Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.4M Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.0M Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 399K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 104K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 27.4% (90% CI: 26.9%-27.9%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 50.1% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.2%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.
In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.5%) win rate for white (1.5M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 47.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.1%) win rate for white (3.6M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.4%) win rate for white (1.8M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
In Classical games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.7%-45.3%) win rate for white (67K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.
The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano is statistically balanced with a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.