Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack
2.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
42.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 44.6%.
Measured over 2.1K games at this level and clock.
White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for White
Draw 5.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 2.1K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 2.1K
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 31 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.0%
- Draws
- 5.0%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 78.6% at 1000-1199, 57.9% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (99 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (104 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (433 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 29.3% expected score (95 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 37.0% expected score (148 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (472 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (116 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (194 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (209 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (40 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.2% expected score (62 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack scores 42.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 41.0% and 44.6% — from 2.1K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 2.1K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate?
Playing the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack, White wins 40.3%, draws 5.0% and loses 54.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.8%. It rests on 2.1K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack perform best?
The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 46.8% (443 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 45.2% in Blitz (1.2K games) against 35.7% in Rapid (275 games).
How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack?
The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 40.6%, draws 4.4% and loses 54.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.9%. It rests on 145 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 37.6%, draws 4.4% and loses 58.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.8%. It rests on 644 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 40.7%, draws 5.2% and loses 54.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.3%. It rests on 740 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 43.3%, draws 6.9% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 443 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 39.3%, draws 3.8% and loses 56.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.2%. It rests on 544 Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 42.3%, draws 5.7% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.2%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 33.1%, draws 5.2% and loses 61.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 35.7%. It rests on 275 Lichess games.
Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack a good opening?
The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 40.3% of its games and loses 54.7%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.