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Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack

466K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

52.7%

45%60%
Floor52.6%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.8%.

Measured over 466K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 466K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
466K
Best context
61.1% at 2200-2499 Rapid
Worst context
48.8% at 1400-1599 Classical
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
96.3%
Draws
3.7%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.4 · Trap factor: +7.4 · 466K games

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 52.6% at 0-999, 68.2% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (3,828 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (6,123 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (4,094 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (11,197 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (18,410 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (11,263 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (18,596 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (38,584 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (20,832 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (654 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (24,406 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (56,269 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (29,550 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (1,409 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (22,770 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (56,812 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (29,088 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (1,873 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (17,016 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (36,209 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (18,131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (913 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (10,415 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (13,356 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (4,512 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (136 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (4,732 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (3,100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (600 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (628 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.2% expected score (143 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 83.3% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack scores 52.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.6% and 52.8% — from 466K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
466K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate?

Playing the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack, White wins 50.9%, draws 3.7% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 466K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack perform best?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 59.4% (777 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 52.9% in Blitz (229K games) against 52.3% in Rapid (118K games).

How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 50.3%, draws 2.9% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 50.8%, draws 2.9% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.3%. It rests on 41K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 50.6%, draws 3.2% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 79K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 50.8%, draws 3.4% and loses 45.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 112K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 50.7%, draws 3.8% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 111K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 50.8%, draws 4.3% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 72K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 51.8%, draws 4.5% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.1%. It rests on 28K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 53.4%, draws 5.2% and loses 41.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.0%. It rests on 8.4K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 56.5%, draws 5.8% and loses 37.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.4%. It rests on 777 Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.4%, draws 2.5% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 114K Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 51.0%, draws 3.8% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 229K Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 50.0%, draws 4.4% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.3%. It rests on 118K Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 49.8%, draws 5.7% and loses 44.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 5.2K Lichess games.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 50.9% of its games and loses 45.5%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.