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Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation

1.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score38.7%Range (90% confident): 36.8% – 40.7%Based on 1.7K games
0%38.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 36.8% – 40.7%
Outcome Distribution
36.6%4.3%59.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
10...d5
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation
Analyzen=1.7K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 38.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 36.8% and 40.7%), based on 1.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 94.8 · Trap factor: +26.0 · n=1.7K

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 8%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.0% win rate (36 games)
  • 1000-1199: 33.9% win rate (109 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.4% win rate (247 games)
  • 1400-1599: 35.0% win rate (440 games)
  • 1600-1799: 32.4% win rate (476 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.2% win rate (303 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.7% win rate (84 games)
  • 2200-2499: 35.8% win rate (25 games)
  • 2500+: 7.7% win rate (5 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (40%), worst in Blitz (35%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 39.8% win rate (261 games)
  • Blitz: 35.4% win rate (740 games)
  • Rapid: 36.6% win rate (664 games)
  • Classical: 36.6% win rate (60 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 22.7% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.1% expected score (58 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 32.2% expected score (35 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 40.8% expected score (112 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (89 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 38.7% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 34.2% expected score (207 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (159 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (59 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 34.0% expected score (195 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 35.8% expected score (203 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (44 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (113 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (128 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 59.2% (90% CI: 57.2%-61.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 61.7% win rate for white (440 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (62.0%) outperforms Classical (54.5%) by 7.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 64.7% (90% CI: 57.1%-72.0%) win rate for white, based on 109 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 56.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-62.1%) win rate for white, based on 247 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 61.7% (90% CI: 57.9%-65.5%) win rate for white, based on 440 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 61.5% (90% CI: 57.8%-65.1%) win rate for white, based on 476 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 51.6%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 303 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 57.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-61.9%) win rate for white (261 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 62.0% (90% CI: 59.0%-64.9%) win rate for white (740 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation has a 57.2% (90% CI: 54.0%-60.3%) win rate for white (664 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Bernstein Variation is statistically favors white with a 59.2% (90% CI: 57.2%-61.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.