Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit

212K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score57.4%Range (90% confident): 57.2% – 57.6%Based on 212K games

0%57.4%100%

Range (90% confident): 57.2% – 57.6%

Outcome Distribution

55.4%4.0%40.7%

Win

Draw

Loss

4.Bg5

Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit

Analyzen=212K

Avg Length32 moves

Sharpness96%

Draw Rate4.0%

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 57.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.2% and 57.6%), based on 212K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +15.2% · Breakpoint: Never

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.1% · Rapid best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~53%)

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (58%), worst in UltraBullet (49%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Bulle	Blitz	Rapid	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+					—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (33 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (1,223 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (1,310 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (599 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (54 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (2,075 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (1,773 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (542 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (15 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (120 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (4,061 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (3,292 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (858 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.7% expected score (37 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (381 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (7,215 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (6,799 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (1,371 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (72 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (333 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (12,569 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (14,866 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (2,521 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (132 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (173 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (19,088 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (29,571 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (4,736 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (206 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (20,050 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (34,106 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (4,652 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (121 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (15,770 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (15,900 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (1,473 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (2,632 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (842 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (46 games)

Related Openings

Parent

Dutch Defense

49.8%

Variations (5)

Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation

47.7%

Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation

51.0%

Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit

49.8%

Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation

52.1%

Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit

54.5%

Continuations (6)

Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation

52.6%

Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack

43.5%

Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Chigorin Variation

46.3%

Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation

53.1%

Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Nimzowitsch Variation

48.6%

Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Tartakower Variation

53.3%

Analyze Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 212K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 56.1% win rate for white (54K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.4%) by 8.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.5%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.3%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.6%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.8%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 59K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.3%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-51.8%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.7%-55.3%) win rate for white (85K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.7%) win rate for white (108K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 57.5% (90% CI: 56.9%-58.1%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a 57.4% (90% CI: 54.1%-60.7%) win rate for white (609 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit is statistically favors white with a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit expected score for White?