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Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit

20K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.3%Based on 20K games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.3%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%3.9%46.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.e4
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
Analyzen=20K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 51.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.2% and 52.3%), based on 20K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.2% win rate (221 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.0% win rate (358 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.9% win rate (749 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (1,480 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.6% win rate (2,572 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (4,923 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.8% win rate (6,199 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.6% win rate (3,391 games)
  • 2500+: 53.8% win rate (347 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.7% win rate (52 games)
  • Bullet: 50.5% win rate (7,024 games)
  • Blitz: 49.6% win rate (11,236 games)
  • Rapid: 48.0% win rate (1,866 games)
  • Classical: 46.5% win rate (62 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (81 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (108 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (164 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (151 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (304 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (354 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (77 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (513 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (786 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (158 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (819 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (1,363 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (360 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (1,300 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (3,042 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (557 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (1,899 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (3,822 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (465 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (1,665 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (1,548 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (176 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (279 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (62 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Dutch Defense: Bladel Variation
45.4%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 20K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (3.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.5%) outperforms Classical (46.5%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit?

The Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 45.2% (90% CI: 39.7%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 221 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 41.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 358 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 46.9%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 749 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.0%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 347 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.5%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.4%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.1%-49.9%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.