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Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted

163K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.6%Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 47.8%Based on 163K games
0%47.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 47.8%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%3.2%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...fxe4
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted
Analyzen=163K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 47.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.4% and 47.8%), based on 163K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.1% win rate (5,389 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.2% win rate (7,564 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.9% win rate (12,166 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.8% win rate (21,122 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.4% win rate (32,445 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.1% win rate (39,820 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.0% win rate (30,202 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.5% win rate (12,590 games)
  • 2500+: 41.1% win rate (1,336 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Blitz (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.0% win rate (2,907 games)
  • Bullet: 47.3% win rate (59,228 games)
  • Blitz: 44.8% win rate (79,779 games)
  • Rapid: 46.5% win rate (19,973 games)
  • Classical: 46.3% win rate (747 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (1,701 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (2,474 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (1,188 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (2,707 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (3,495 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (1,289 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 60.2% expected score (191 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (4,534 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (5,584 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (1,787 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (70 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (944 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (6,736 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (10,526 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (2,766 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (150 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (1,084 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (10,773 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (16,013 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (4,363 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (212 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (407 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (13,834 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (20,378 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (5,007 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (194 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (169 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (11,327 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (15,761 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (2,876 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (69 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 48.1% expected score (50 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (6,519 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (5,323 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (689 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (1,097 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.9% expected score (225 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Queen's Knight Variation
48.2%
Dutch Defense: Rubinstein Variation
47.6%
Dutch Defense: Raphael Variation
51.2%
Dutch Defense: Normal Variation
48.3%
Dutch Defense: Classical Variation
49.1%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 163K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (30K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.5%) outperforms Classical (48.4%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.9%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.3%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.7%) win rate for white (59K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.8%) win rate for white (80K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.1%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a 48.4% (90% CI: 45.4%-51.4%) win rate for white (747 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted is statistically favors white with a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.