Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted
163K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
47.6%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.8%.
Measured over 163K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 163K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 163K
- Best context
- 53.4% at 0-999 Rapid
- Worst context
- 42.1% at 2200-2499 Rapid
- Average game length
- 30 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.8%
- Draws
- 3.2%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 51.1% at 0-999, 48.1% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (1,701 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (2,474 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (1,188 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (42 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (2,707 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (3,495 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (1,289 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (31 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 60.2% expected score (191 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (4,534 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (5,584 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (1,787 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (70 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (944 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (6,736 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (10,526 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (2,766 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (150 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (1,084 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (10,773 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (16,013 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (4,363 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (212 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (407 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (13,834 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (20,378 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (5,007 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (194 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (169 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (11,327 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (15,761 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (2,876 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (69 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 48.1% expected score (50 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (6,519 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (5,323 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (689 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (1,097 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.9% expected score (225 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted scores 47.6% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.4% and 47.8% — from 163K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 163K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate?
Playing the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted, Black wins 46.0%, draws 3.2% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 163K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted perform best?
The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 51.1% (5.4K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 46.7% in Blitz (80K games) against 48.5% in Rapid (20K games).
How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted?
The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 49.1%, draws 3.9% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 5.4K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 49.2%, draws 2.7% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 7.6K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 48.9%, draws 2.1% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 48.8%, draws 2.2% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 21K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 47.4%, draws 2.8% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 45.1%, draws 3.3% and loses 51.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 40K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 43.0%, draws 4.0% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.0%. It rests on 30K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 42.5%, draws 4.5% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.7%. It rests on 13K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 41.1%, draws 5.9% and loses 53.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.1%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 49.0%, draws 1.2% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 2.9K Lichess games.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 47.3%, draws 2.3% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 59K Lichess games.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 44.8%, draws 3.7% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 80K Lichess games.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 46.5%, draws 4.0% and loses 49.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 20K Lichess games.
What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 46.3%, draws 5.3% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 747 Lichess games.
Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted a good opening?
The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit Accepted is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.0% of its games and loses 50.8%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.