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Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation

655K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.9%Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 52.0%Based on 655K games
0%51.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%4.2%46.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Bg4
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation
Analyzen=655K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 51.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 52.0%), based on 655K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.1% win rate (35,980 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (61,253 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.3% win rate (83,586 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.6% win rate (98,798 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (106,074 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.4% win rate (113,491 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.0% win rate (94,093 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.7% win rate (53,878 games)
  • 2500+: 40.6% win rate (8,151 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.8% win rate (2,478 games)
  • Bullet: 51.2% win rate (217,165 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (312,824 games)
  • Rapid: 48.8% win rate (118,804 games)
  • Classical: 49.4% win rate (4,033 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (9,032 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (17,378 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (9,497 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 66.2% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.6% expected score (70 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (15,425 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (29,117 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (16,404 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (237 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 65.1% expected score (165 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (23,152 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (39,068 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (20,649 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (552 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (281 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (28,803 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (47,287 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (21,450 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (977 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.6% expected score (518 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (33,169 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (53,190 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (18,296 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (901 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (655 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (36,500 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (58,160 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (17,360 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (816 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (552 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (33,714 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (47,568 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (11,834 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (425 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 47.9% expected score (189 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (30,945 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (19,528 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (3,157 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.7% expected score (59 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (6,425 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (1,528 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (157 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (21 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Exchange Variation
47.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Hillbilly Attack
44.6%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation
49.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation, Botvinnik-Carls Defense
46.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack
50.2%
Continuations (2)
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Exchange Line
46.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line
46.7%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 655K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (8.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (46.3%) outperforms Classical (44.5%) by 1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 84K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 99K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 106K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 113K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 94K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.3%-47.6%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.0%) win rate for white (217K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.3%) win rate for white (313K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.6%) win rate for white (119K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.2%-45.7%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.