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Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line

151K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 51.6%Based on 151K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 51.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.3%4.0%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bh5
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line
Analyzen=151K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 51.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 51.6%), based on 151K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.5% win rate (5,445 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.8% win rate (8,343 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.9% win rate (13,626 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.6% win rate (19,919 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (24,439 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (29,667 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.3% win rate (25,654 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.6% win rate (19,216 games)
  • 2500+: 43.5% win rate (4,350 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 51.3% win rate (35,191 games)
  • Blitz: 48.9% win rate (84,994 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (29,285 games)
  • Classical: 46.7% win rate (1,181 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (795 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (2,710 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (1,930 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (1,584 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (4,020 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (2,687 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (52 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,966 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (6,981 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (3,559 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (118 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (4,206 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (10,714 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (4,782 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (217 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (4,907 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (13,939 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (5,320 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (273 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (6,044 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (17,227 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (6,042 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (352 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (6,140 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (15,567 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (3,796 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (6,354 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (11,740 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (1,111 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (2,195 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (2,096 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (58 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Exchange Variation
47.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Hillbilly Attack
44.6%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation
49.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation, Botvinnik-Carls Defense
46.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack
50.2%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 151K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 47.9% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (47.4%) outperforms Bullet (45.9%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.4%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.1%) win rate for white (85K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.8%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line has a 49.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-51.5%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack, Mindeno Variation, Retreat Line is statistically balanced with a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-46.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.