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Analyzer

Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation

561 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.2%Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 52.7%Based on 561 games
0%49.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 52.7%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%6.1%47.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nfd2
Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation
Analyzen=561
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation has a 49.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 52.7%), based on 561 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.3% · Bullet best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~55%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.8% win rate (14 games)
  • 1000-1199: 38.8% win rate (23 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.0% win rate (29 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.6% win rate (49 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.8% win rate (51 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.2% win rate (97 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.2% win rate (139 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (140 games)
  • 2500+: 56.1% win rate (19 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 55.7% win rate (109 games)
  • Blitz: 42.4% win rate (346 games)
  • Rapid: 47.6% win rate (94 games)
  • Classical: 39.1% win rate (10 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 38.7% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (89 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 64.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 70.9% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (103 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bogo-Indian Defense
57.5%
Variations (5)
Bogo-Indian Defense: Exchange Variation
50.0%
Bogo-Indian Defense: Grünfeld Variation
50.5%
Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation
53.3%
Bogo-Indian Defense: Monticelli Trap
57.8%
Bogo-Indian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation
47.4%
Analyze Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation win rate?

The Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 42.7%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 561 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation perform best?

The Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.2% win rate for white (139 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.7%) outperforms Blitz (42.4%) by 13.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation?

The Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 43.3%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 139 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 38.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 140 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-63.3%) win rate for white (109 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation has a 42.4% (90% CI: 38.1%-46.8%) win rate for white (346 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation a good opening?

The Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.1% (90% CI: 42.7%-49.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.