What is the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 48.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 48.9%), based on 569K Lichess games.
569K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 48.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 48.9%), based on 569K Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~48%)
Best in Classical (48%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 569K rated games from Lichess.
The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 49.1% win rate for white (71K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (48.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.4%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 116K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 71K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 87K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.2%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 98K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 91K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 44.9%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 459 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.9%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.
In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.2%) win rate for white (244K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.
In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-46.8%) win rate for white (210K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.6%) win rate for white (80K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-50.0%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
The Alekhine Defense: Krejcik Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.