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Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System

247K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 52.8%Based on 247K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 52.8%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%4.9%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.c3
Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System
Analyzen=247K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 52.8%), based on 247K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.6% win rate (1,415 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.3% win rate (6,066 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.9% win rate (14,790 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.3% win rate (30,076 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.4% win rate (47,289 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.5% win rate (54,169 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.2% win rate (49,691 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.1% win rate (35,688 games)
  • 2500+: 50.5% win rate (8,303 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (68%), worst in Blitz (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 68.0% win rate (11 games)
  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (62,146 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (140,503 games)
  • Rapid: 50.9% win rate (42,942 games)
  • Classical: 52.8% win rate (1,885 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (821 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (492 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (100 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (2,700 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (2,894 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (467 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (3,898 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (8,667 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (2,183 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (39 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (6,465 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (16,773 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (6,566 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (269 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (9,730 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (25,894 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (10,909 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (754 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (10,009 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (31,117 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (12,448 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.0% expected score (595 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (11,311 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (31,107 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (7,103 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (169 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (11,846 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (20,824 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (2,974 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (5,366 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (2,735 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.8% expected score (192 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 76.1% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Continuations (4)
Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System, Barcza Line
51.1%
Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System, Gambit Line
48.1%
Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System, Ljubojevic Line
50.8%
Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System, Steiner Line
50.9%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 247K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (6.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (52.8%) outperforms Blitz (49.8%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System?

The Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.7%) win rate for white (62K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.1%) win rate for white (141K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.3%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System has a 52.8% (90% CI: 50.9%-54.7%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.