Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack
4.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
52.3%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.
Measured over 4.5M games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 4.5M games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 4.5M
- Best context
- 59.7% at 2000-2199 Classical
- Worst context
- 48.0% at 0-999 Bullet
- Average game length
- 35 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.7%
- Draws
- 4.3%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 44.7% at 0-999, 58.1% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.0% expected score (82 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (20,722 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (23,524 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (6,355 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (69 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (275 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (64,683 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (97,372 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (20,316 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (268 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.9% expected score (242 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (125,145 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (253,688 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (58,054 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (1,127 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (249 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (179,054 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (451,371 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (122,568 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (4,825 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.0% expected score (184 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (205,384 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (579,023 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (164,079 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (6,752 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.1% expected score (112 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (207,529 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (603,497 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (155,359 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (5,864 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.3% expected score (35 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (172,850 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (401,304 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (82,317 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (2,172 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 74.3% expected score (15 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (151,620 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (222,390 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (25,028 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.2% expected score (562 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (53,862 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (35,789 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (1,599 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (125 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack scores 52.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.2% and 52.3% — from 4.5M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 4.5M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate?
Playing the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, White wins 50.1%, draws 4.3% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.3%. It rests on 4.5M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack perform best?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 56.0% (91K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 52.5% in Blitz (2.7M games) against 52.8% in Rapid (636K games).
How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 47.8%, draws 2.7% and loses 49.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 51K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 49.4%, draws 2.8% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 183K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 49.3%, draws 3.1% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 438K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 49.4%, draws 3.6% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 758K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 49.5%, draws 4.1% and loses 46.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 955K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 50.0%, draws 4.6% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.3%. It rests on 972K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 51.3%, draws 5.0% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 659K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 51.9%, draws 6.0% and loses 42.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 400K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 51.1%, draws 9.9% and loses 39.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.0%. It rests on 91K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 52.0%, draws 1.7% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 49.8%, draws 3.1% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 1.2M Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 50.2%, draws 4.7% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 2.7M Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 50.2%, draws 5.1% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 636K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 49.8%, draws 6.6% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 22K Lichess games.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack a good opening?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 50.1% of its games and loses 45.6%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.