Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation
1.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
47.4%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.5%.
Measured over 1.2M games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 5.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.2M games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 1.2M
- Best context
- 56.8% at 0-999 Rapid
- Worst context
- 40.2% at 2500+ Blitz
- Average game length
- 36 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 94.9%
- Draws
- 5.1%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 58.6% at 0-999, 43.2% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (3,289 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (3,589 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (1,020 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (12,148 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (16,660 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (3,385 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 63.5% expected score (43 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.5% expected score (26 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (25,057 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (45,679 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (10,931 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (186 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 65.4% expected score (44 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (37,903 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (86,272 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (23,666 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (871 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (46,159 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (119,622 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (32,903 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1,368 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (51,753 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (146,131 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (35,759 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (1,912 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (53,191 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (157,270 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (27,041 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (1,098 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (64,147 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (139,225 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (14,419 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.1% expected score (390 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (31,410 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.2% expected score (21,438 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (1,294 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (134 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation scores 47.4% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.3% and 47.5% — from 1.2M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 1.2M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate?
Playing the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Black wins 44.8%, draws 5.1% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 1.2M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation perform best?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 54.8% (7.9K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 47.1% in Blitz (736K games) against 48.5% in Rapid (150K games).
How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 53.5%, draws 2.7% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 7.9K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 49.6%, draws 2.6% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 47.8%, draws 3.2% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 82K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 47.3%, draws 3.5% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 149K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.6%, draws 4.0% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 200K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 45.3%, draws 4.8% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 236K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 44.4%, draws 5.5% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 239K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 41.4%, draws 6.9% and loses 51.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 218K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 36.0%, draws 11.3% and loses 52.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.7%. It rests on 54K Lichess games, which average 44 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 53.5%, draws 1.2% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 119 Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 45.6%, draws 4.0% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 325K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 44.3%, draws 5.5% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 736K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 45.5%, draws 5.8% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 150K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 44.7%, draws 9.3% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 6.0K Lichess games.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation a good opening?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 44.8% of its games and loses 50.1%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.