TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation

3.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.7%Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 49.8%Based on 3.4M games
0%49.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 49.8%
Outcome Distribution
47.5%4.5%48.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...e5
Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation
Analyzen=3.4M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 49.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.7% and 49.8%), based on 3.4M Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.4% win rate (17,642 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.1% win rate (72,748 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.5% win rate (214,711 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.0% win rate (507,364 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.6% win rate (863,958 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.2% win rate (931,475 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.2% win rate (551,015 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.2% win rate (232,855 games)
  • 2500+: 43.2% win rate (29,199 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Rapid (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.3% win rate (1,249 games)
  • Bullet: 49.1% win rate (1,266,425 games)
  • Blitz: 46.6% win rate (1,766,490 games)
  • Rapid: 45.9% win rate (374,783 games)
  • Classical: 46.3% win rate (12,020 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (9,703 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (6,695 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (1,216 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.5% expected score (136 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (36,205 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (30,513 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (5,839 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 71.3% expected score (55 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (165 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (89,123 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (104,837 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (20,235 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (351 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (288 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (176,109 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (272,222 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (56,615 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (2,130 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.1% expected score (252 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (252,804 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (496,089 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (110,206 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.1% expected score (4,607 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.9% expected score (205 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (290,904 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (515,795 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (120,776 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (3,795 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.6% expected score (167 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (243,556 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (255,995 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (50,315 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (982 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (143,086 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (80,408 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (9,259 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (88 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (24,935 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (3,936 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (322 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 48.6% win rate for white (215K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (48.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.5%) by 4.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 215K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 507K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 864K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 931K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 551K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 233K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 9.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-46.8%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.5%) win rate for white (1.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.5%) win rate for white (1.8M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white (375K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.7%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Löwenthal Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.