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Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation

367K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score42.6%Range (90% confident): 42.5% – 42.8%Based on 367K games
0%42.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.5% – 42.8%
Outcome Distribution
40.8%3.5%55.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...e5
Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation
Analyzen=367K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 42.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.5% and 42.8%), based on 367K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.6% · Classical best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 39% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.2% win rate (63,325 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.1% win rate (60,731 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.6% win rate (63,296 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.5% win rate (65,894 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.6% win rate (53,272 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.8% win rate (39,292 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.9% win rate (14,976 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.8% win rate (5,158 games)
  • 2500+: 36.3% win rate (806 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (44%), worst in Classical (29%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.3% win rate (967 games)
  • Bullet: 44.0% win rate (104,261 games)
  • Blitz: 40.9% win rate (180,713 games)
  • Rapid: 37.0% win rate (77,442 games)
  • Classical: 29.4% win rate (3,367 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.8% expected score (87 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (13,098 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (30,904 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (18,973 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 39.4% expected score (263 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.8% expected score (159 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (14,784 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (30,446 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 37.4% expected score (14,784 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 33.9% expected score (558 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (240 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (16,482 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (31,048 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.8% expected score (14,716 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (810 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (240 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (17,966 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (33,547 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (13,125 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 28.8% expected score (1,016 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (113 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (15,737 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (27,716 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (9,184 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 29.7% expected score (522 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 37.9% expected score (77 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (13,788 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (19,807 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (5,441 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 33.9% expected score (179 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.7% expected score (38 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (7,616 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (6,214 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 38.5% expected score (1,091 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 25.7% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (4,052 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 37.5% expected score (968 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (124 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 39.0% expected score (738 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 33.7% expected score (63 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 55.5%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 367K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 57.7% win rate for white (61K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (66.3%) outperforms Bullet (53.7%) by 12.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 56.8% (90% CI: 56.5%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 57.7% (90% CI: 57.4%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.0%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.4%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 59.1% (90% CI: 56.3%-62.0%) win rate for white, based on 806 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 53.6%-58.8%) win rate for white (967 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.9%) win rate for white (104K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.1%-55.5%) win rate for white (181K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 58.6% (90% CI: 58.3%-58.9%) win rate for white (77K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation has a 66.3% (90% CI: 65.0%-67.6%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Jalalabad Variation is statistically favors white with a 55.7% (90% CI: 55.5%-55.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.