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Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation

1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.2%Range (90% confident): 45.1% – 45.3%Based on 1.3M games
0%45.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.1% – 45.3%
Outcome Distribution
43.7%2.9%53.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e6
Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation
Analyzen=1.3M
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 45.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.1% and 45.3%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.9% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 35%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (34,916 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.9% win rate (114,019 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.8% win rate (230,854 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.9% win rate (322,593 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.9% win rate (296,002 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.3% win rate (191,000 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.6% win rate (70,965 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.5% win rate (19,737 games)
  • 2500+: 34.7% win rate (1,405 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.5% win rate (3,797 games)
  • Bullet: 45.9% win rate (597,834 games)
  • Blitz: 42.1% win rate (522,285 games)
  • Rapid: 40.8% win rate (152,013 games)
  • Classical: 37.4% win rate (5,562 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (135 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (15,102 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (16,207 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (3,456 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.0% expected score (406 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (49,329 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (51,338 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (12,823 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (123 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.6% expected score (844 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (94,990 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (103,122 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (31,181 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (717 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (1,141 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (135,652 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (138,385 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (45,476 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.7% expected score (1,939 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.8% expected score (781 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (134,933 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (120,960 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (37,406 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (1,922 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.3% expected score (365 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (101,927 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (70,181 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.8% expected score (17,763 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 34.1% expected score (764 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.1% expected score (107 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (47,532 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.8% expected score (19,584 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 34.6% expected score (3,663 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 29.5% expected score (79 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (17,013 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 38.0% expected score (2,466 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 35.8% expected score (238 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (1,356 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.8% expected score (42 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 14.7% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 60.3% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (58.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.5%) by 9.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 114K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.6%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 231K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 323K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 296K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 191K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 71K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.9%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 60.3% (90% CI: 58.1%-62.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.8%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.0%) win rate for white (598K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.4%-54.6%) win rate for white (522K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 55.3%-55.7%) win rate for white (152K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation has a 58.4% (90% CI: 57.4%-59.5%) win rate for white (5.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Franco-Sicilian Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.