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Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation

589K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.9%Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 50.0%Based on 589K games
0%49.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 50.0%
Outcome Distribution
48.4%3.0%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...a6
Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation
Analyzen=589K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 49.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.8% and 50.0%), based on 589K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.5% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.2% win rate (9,275 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.1% win rate (33,939 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (90,255 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (135,726 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (148,506 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.5% win rate (108,850 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.5% win rate (42,353 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.8% win rate (15,426 games)
  • 2500+: 45.9% win rate (4,567 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.7% win rate (749 games)
  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (250,307 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (265,301 games)
  • Rapid: 45.0% win rate (70,454 games)
  • Classical: 40.1% win rate (2,086 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 71.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (5,341 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (3,325 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (584 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.8% expected score (102 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (15,708 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (15,181 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (2,919 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (37,415 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (41,929 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (10,616 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (146 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (136 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (53,448 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (63,343 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (18,107 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (692 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (251 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (56,613 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (69,716 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (21,106 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (820 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (84 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (47,479 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (47,229 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (13,713 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 35.3% expected score (345 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (18,731 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (20,482 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (3,098 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 34.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (11,173 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (3,974 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (274 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (4,399 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.1% expected score (122 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 11.9% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 589K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.7% win rate for white (42K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (54.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (42.3%) by 12.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 90K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 136K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 149K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 109K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 42.3% (90% CI: 39.4%-45.3%) win rate for white (749 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.4%) win rate for white (250K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate for white (265K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.2%) win rate for white (70K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.0%-56.6%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Drazic Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.