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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation

90K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

55.5%

45%60%
Floor55.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 55.8%.

Measured over 90K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 90K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
90K
Best context
63.2% at 2500+ Blitz
Worst context
45.1% at 1400-1599 Bullet
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
95.9%
Draws
4.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 47.7% at 0-999, 61.8% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (109 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (120 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (367 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (361 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (127 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (787 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (1,020 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (359 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (1,452 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (2,443 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (729 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (2,789 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (5,380 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (1,458 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (84 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (4,296 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (11,009 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (2,114 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (176 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (6,839 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (15,931 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (2,450 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.6% expected score (115 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (10,917 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (13,258 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (1,202 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (3,136 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.2% expected score (832 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.1% expected score (44 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Continuations (1)
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line
47.8%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation scores 55.5% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 55.2% and 55.8% — from 90K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
90K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate?

Playing the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, White wins 53.4%, draws 4.1% and loses 42.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.5%. It rests on 90K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 60.8% (4.0K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 56.1% in Blitz (50K games) against 55.9% in Rapid (8.5K games).

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 45.0%, draws 3.2% and loses 51.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 266 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 45.2%, draws 2.0% and loses 52.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 856 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 48.3%, draws 2.8% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 46.2%, draws 3.2% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 4.7K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 48.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 9.7K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 54.5%, draws 3.5% and loses 41.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.3%. It rests on 18K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 55.7%, draws 4.0% and loses 40.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.7%. It rests on 25K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 53.8%, draws 4.9% and loses 41.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.3%. It rests on 25K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 58.3%, draws 4.9% and loses 36.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.8%. It rests on 4.0K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 52.8%, draws 3.1% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 31K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 53.9%, draws 4.4% and loses 41.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.1%. It rests on 50K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 53.4%, draws 5.0% and loses 41.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.9%. It rests on 8.5K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 52.4%, draws 7.9% and loses 39.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.4%. It rests on 473 Lichess games.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 53.4% of its games and loses 42.5%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.