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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line

4.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.1%Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 51.2%Based on 4.8K games
0%50.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 51.2%
Outcome Distribution
47.9%4.2%47.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nbd7
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line
Analyzen=4.8K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 50.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 51.2%), based on 4.8K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~39%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.9% win rate (22 games)
  • 1200-1399: 58.6% win rate (71 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.0% win rate (186 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (346 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (837 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.5% win rate (1,593 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.2% win rate (1,429 games)
  • 2500+: 39.0% win rate (295 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (65%), worst in Rapid (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (1,537 games)
  • Blitz: 47.1% win rate (2,857 games)
  • Rapid: 47.1% win rate (380 games)
  • Classical: 65.2% win rate (10 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 65.7% expected score (43 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 33.9% expected score (42 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (99 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (209 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (217 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (528 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (396 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (1,055 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (139 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (514 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (846 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (69 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (212 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (76 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 32.4% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 56.5% win rate for white (295 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.1%) outperforms Rapid (49.4%) by -1.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 46.7% (90% CI: 40.7%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 186 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 43.9% (90% CI: 39.5%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 346 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 48.6% (90% CI: 45.8%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 837 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.3%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 56.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 295 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-50.2%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.0%-49.1%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line has a 49.4% (90% CI: 45.2%-53.6%) win rate for white (380 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Levenfish Variation, Main Line is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.