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Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.5%Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 46.2%Based on 13K games
0%45.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 46.2%
Outcome Distribution
42.4%6.2%51.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...e5
Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 45.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.8% and 46.2%), based on 13K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.4% win rate (9 games)
  • 1000-1199: 32.1% win rate (25 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.8% win rate (43 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.4% win rate (212 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.2% win rate (661 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.1% win rate (2,164 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.9% win rate (4,092 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.1% win rate (4,869 games)
  • 2500+: 37.3% win rate (1,203 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (46%), worst in Classical (38%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 42.3% win rate (5,256 games)
  • Blitz: 42.1% win rate (7,305 games)
  • Rapid: 46.0% win rate (688 games)
  • Classical: 37.7% win rate (29 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (68 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (128 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.3% expected score (179 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (417 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (60 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (551 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (1,442 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (160 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (1,267 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (2,554 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (263 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (2,125 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (2,565 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (175 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (1,032 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.7% expected score (164 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.5% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.4%) outperforms Rapid (45.9%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 48.0% (90% CI: 42.4%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 212 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 52.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 661 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 55.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.5%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.3%) win rate for white (7.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 has a 45.9% (90% CI: 42.8%-49.0%) win rate for white (688 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with f4 is statistically favors white with a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.