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Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit

41K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.7%Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 51.1%Based on 41K games
0%50.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 51.1%
Outcome Distribution
49.4%2.5%48.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f5
Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit
Analyzen=41K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.5%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 50.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.3% and 51.1%), based on 41K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +6.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 18.5% · Classical best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 35% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 35.2% win rate (1,179 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.5% win rate (1,476 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.6% win rate (2,355 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.0% win rate (4,229 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.8% win rate (4,687 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.8% win rate (7,264 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.8% win rate (13,124 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.7% win rate (5,715 games)
  • 2500+: 45.6% win rate (635 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.7% win rate (52 games)
  • Bullet: 52.2% win rate (23,962 games)
  • Blitz: 46.5% win rate (13,121 games)
  • Rapid: 41.9% win rate (3,390 games)
  • Classical: 33.1% win rate (139 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 32.5% expected score (364 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (500 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.3% expected score (304 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (421 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (683 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.2% expected score (354 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (771 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (1,115 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (441 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (1,458 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (1,726 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (986 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 24.7% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (1,277 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (2,526 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (831 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (3,760 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (3,170 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (317 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 33.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (10,547 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (2,432 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (141 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (4,778 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (921 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (586 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 41K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 61.8% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (64.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.4%) by 13.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit?

The Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 61.8% (90% CI: 59.5%-64.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 59.9% (90% CI: 57.8%-62.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.5%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.9%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.3%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 635 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.5%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.9%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-55.6%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit has a 64.4% (90% CI: 57.7%-70.9%) win rate for white (139 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Brussels Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.