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Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line

1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 55.3%Based on 1.6K games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 55.3%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%6.8%43.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...g5
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line
Analyzen=1.6K
Avg Length42 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.8%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line has a 53.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 55.3%), based on 1.6K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 49%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.9% win rate (7 games)
  • 1600-1799: 60.0% win rate (26 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.5% win rate (88 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.5% win rate (436 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.3% win rate (755 games)
  • 2500+: 48.7% win rate (256 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in Blitz (49%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.6% win rate (335 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (1,088 games)
  • Rapid: 48.7% win rate (133 games)
  • Classical: 60.0% win rate (16 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399————
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 61.9% expected score (62 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (339 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 63.5% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (171 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (529 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (53 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (109 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (138 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line has a 43.4% (90% CI: 41.4%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 45.1% win rate for white (755 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (44.2%) outperforms Rapid (38.3%) by 5.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line?

The Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line has a sharpness score of 93.2 (decisive), meaning 93.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 42 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line has a 42.6% (90% CI: 38.8%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 436 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line has a 45.1% (90% CI: 42.2%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 755 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line has a 42.9% (90% CI: 37.9%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 256 Lichess games. Average game length is 49 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line has a 43.5% (90% CI: 39.1%-48.0%) win rate for white (335 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line has a 44.2% (90% CI: 41.7%-46.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line has a 38.3% (90% CI: 31.5%-45.3%) win rate for white (133 Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation, Stoltz Attack, Ivanchuk Line is slightly favors black with a 43.4% (90% CI: 41.4%-45.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.