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Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack

61K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

52.1%

45%60%
Floor51.7%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.4%.

Measured over 61K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 2.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 61K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
61K
Best context
62.8% at 2200-2499 Bullet
Worst context
46.3% at 1000-1199 Rapid
Average game length
28 moves
Games that end decisively
97.5%
Draws
2.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.9% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 56.4%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (439 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (659 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (211 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (1,292 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (1,882 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (685 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (2,542 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (4,409 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (1,388 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (3,316 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (7,295 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (2,582 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (3,631 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (9,137 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (2,915 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (133 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (3,447 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (6,494 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (2,057 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (97 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (1,777 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (2,098 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (474 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 62.8% expected score (1,175 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.3% expected score (667 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.8% expected score (64 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (168 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (82 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack scores 52.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.7% and 52.4% — from 61K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
61K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate?

Playing the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack, White wins 50.8%, draws 2.5% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 61K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack perform best?

The Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 61.6% (1.9K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 50.8% in Blitz (33K games) against 48.5% in Rapid (10K games).

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack?

The Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 49.9%, draws 1.3% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 21 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 49.6%, draws 1.8% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.5%. It rests on 3.9K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 49.3%, draws 2.0% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 8.4K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 49.4%, draws 2.1% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.5%. It rests on 13K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 50.2%, draws 2.7% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 51.6%, draws 2.8% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 54.3%, draws 3.3% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.0%. It rests on 4.4K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 60.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 37.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.6%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 58.3%, draws 2.2% and loses 39.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.4%. It rests on 250 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 55.7%, draws 1.4% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.4%. It rests on 18K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 49.4%, draws 2.8% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 33K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 46.8%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 10K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 48.0%, draws 3.1% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 370 Lichess games.

Is the Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Vitzthum Attack is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 50.8% of its games and loses 46.7%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.