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Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation

708K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score53.9%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.0%Based on 708K games
0%53.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.0%
Outcome Distribution
51.9%3.9%44.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qf6
Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation
Analyzen=708K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 53.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.0%), based on 708K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.6% · Blitz best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 67% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 67.4% win rate (11,227 games)
  • 1000-1199: 59.5% win rate (38,689 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.0% win rate (80,824 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.9% win rate (134,992 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.7% win rate (168,300 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (146,049 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (81,515 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.9% win rate (39,881 games)
  • 2500+: 41.1% win rate (6,787 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (64%), worst in Blitz (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.8% win rate (487 games)
  • Bullet: 54.3% win rate (282,901 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (326,103 games)
  • Rapid: 51.3% win rate (95,447 games)
  • Classical: 51.5% win rate (3,326 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 68.1% expected score (5,819 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 66.4% expected score (4,030 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 75.1% expected score (1,365 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 71.7% expected score (40 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (17,409 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (16,270 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 62.7% expected score (4,916 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 79.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 85.3% expected score (58 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (28,386 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (38,761 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (13,414 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.6% expected score (205 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 64.7% expected score (118 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (44,627 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (65,501 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (23,933 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (813 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (73 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (57,627 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (82,225 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (27,119 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (1,256 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.4% expected score (71 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (57,338 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (70,349 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (17,526 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (765 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 60.3% expected score (91 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (40,668 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (34,835 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (5,730 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (191 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (25,503 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (12,942 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (1,386 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (5,524 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (1,190 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (58 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 62.9% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate?

The Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 44.1%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 708K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (6.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (33.9%) by 11.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation?

The Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 30.7% (90% CI: 30.0%-31.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 19 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 38.5% (90% CI: 38.1%-38.9%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 41.2% (90% CI: 40.9%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 81K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 42.9% (90% CI: 42.7%-43.2%) win rate for white, based on 135K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 44.2%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 168K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 146K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 82K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 33.9% (90% CI: 30.4%-37.4%) win rate for white (487 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 42.8% (90% CI: 42.6%-42.9%) win rate for white (283K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.4%-45.7%) win rate for white (326K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.7%-44.3%) win rate for white (95K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 40.8%-43.6%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Classical Variation, Intermezzo Variation is slightly favors black with a 44.2% (90% CI: 44.1%-44.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.