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Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack

71K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

66.0%

45%70%
Floor65.7%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 66.3%.

Measured over 71K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 71K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
71K
Best context
71.4% at 1800-1999 Bullet
Worst context
55.4% at 1200-1399 Rapid
Average game length
29 moves
Games that end decisively
96.5%
Draws
3.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.3 · Trap factor: +18.2 · 71K games

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.2% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 48.6% at 0-999, 68.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (372 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (143 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 64.2% expected score (430 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (841 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (458 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 66.1% expected score (957 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (1,873 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (887 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 68.4% expected score (2,154 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 64.6% expected score (3,326 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (1,630 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.5% expected score (51 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 70.2% expected score (3,936 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 64.6% expected score (7,352 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (2,624 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (122 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 71.4% expected score (4,642 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 66.2% expected score (11,377 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (3,525 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (230 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (4,466 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 66.6% expected score (8,487 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 67.8% expected score (1,871 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 73.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 68.8% expected score (3,794 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 66.2% expected score (3,660 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.5% expected score (343 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 69.7% expected score (1,195 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (229 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack scores 66.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 65.7% and 66.3% — from 71K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
71K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate?

Playing the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack, White wins 64.2%, draws 3.5% and loses 32.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 66.0%. It rests on 71K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack perform best?

The Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack performs best for White at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 67.8% (15K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 65.2% in Blitz (38K games) against 62.2% in Rapid (11K games).

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack?

The Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 53.7%, draws 2.2% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 616 Lichess games, which average 22 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 56.2%, draws 2.8% and loses 40.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.7%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 58.9%, draws 2.0% and loses 39.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.9%. It rests on 3.7K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 63.1%, draws 2.5% and loses 34.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 64.4%. It rests on 7.2K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 63.9%, draws 2.7% and loses 33.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 65.3%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 65.2%, draws 3.6% and loses 31.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 67.0%. It rests on 20K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 65.6%, draws 4.3% and loses 30.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 67.8%. It rests on 15K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 65.2%, draws 5.0% and loses 29.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 67.7%. It rests on 7.8K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 66.0%, draws 5.6% and loses 28.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 68.9%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 68.2%, draws 2.7% and loses 29.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 69.6%. It rests on 22K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 63.2%, draws 3.8% and loses 32.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 65.2%. It rests on 38K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 60.2%, draws 3.9% and loses 35.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.2%. It rests on 11K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 56.0%, draws 5.5% and loses 38.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.8%. It rests on 498 Lichess games.

Is the Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 64.2% of its games and loses 32.3%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.