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Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line

655K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.3%Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.4%Based on 655K games
0%48.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.4%
Outcome Distribution
45.9%4.8%49.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bg4
Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line
Analyzen=655K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 48.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.2% and 48.4%), based on 655K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (10,009 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.2% win rate (34,864 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.4% win rate (73,242 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.4% win rate (122,640 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.6% win rate (168,620 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.6% win rate (139,662 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.7% win rate (68,098 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.6% win rate (31,524 games)
  • 2500+: 41.9% win rate (6,385 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.0% win rate (973 games)
  • Bullet: 47.4% win rate (298,036 games)
  • Blitz: 45.0% win rate (292,332 games)
  • Rapid: 42.8% win rate (61,672 games)
  • Classical: 40.3% win rate (2,031 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (5,096 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (4,031 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (875 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (16,764 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (14,733 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (3,321 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 18.6% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.3% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (30,886 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (34,852 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (7,305 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (130 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (234 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (48,365 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (60,583 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (12,939 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (519 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.1% expected score (307 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (67,620 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (83,347 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (16,634 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (712 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (187 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (64,270 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (60,296 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (14,438 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (471 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.2% expected score (107 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (38,327 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (24,484 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (5,065 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 35.9% expected score (115 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 34.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (21,330 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (9,021 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.8% expected score (1,080 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (5,378 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (985 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation
50.2%
Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation
49.0%
Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation
47.8%
Scandinavian Defense: Main Line
47.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Gubinsky-Melts Defense
48.5%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 655K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 50.6% win rate for white (35K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.9%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line?

The Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 123K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 169K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 140K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.3%-51.5%) win rate for white (973 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.1%) win rate for white (298K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.5%) win rate for white (292K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.6%) win rate for white (62K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.8%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Main Line is statistically balanced with a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.