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Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation

319K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.0%Based on 319K games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.0%
Outcome Distribution
47.4%4.8%47.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...c6
Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation
Analyzen=319K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 49.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.7% and 50.0%), based on 319K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.3% win rate (2,912 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.1% win rate (8,171 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.2% win rate (17,331 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.3% win rate (32,981 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.4% win rate (60,002 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (81,152 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.2% win rate (66,591 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.5% win rate (39,814 games)
  • 2500+: 41.4% win rate (10,141 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.4% win rate (775 games)
  • Bullet: 49.1% win rate (178,556 games)
  • Blitz: 45.7% win rate (117,120 games)
  • Rapid: 42.7% win rate (21,914 games)
  • Classical: 39.4% win rate (730 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (1,273 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (1,280 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (354 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (3,623 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (3,480 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (1,035 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 65.4% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (8,322 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (6,862 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (2,060 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.0% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 62.2% expected score (109 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (15,501 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (13,590 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (3,612 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (169 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (157 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (27,333 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (26,094 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (6,158 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (260 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.6% expected score (157 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (40,993 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (34,110 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (5,718 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.1% expected score (174 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (194 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (40,774 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (23,074 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (2,491 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 26.8% expected score (87 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (31,356 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (7,891 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (469 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (9,381 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (739 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 23.0% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation
50.2%
Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation
49.0%
Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation
47.8%
Scandinavian Defense: Main Line
47.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Gubinsky-Melts Defense
48.5%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 319K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.1% win rate for white (10K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (46.3%) by 4.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 81K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 43.4%-49.2%) win rate for white (775 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.1%) win rate for white (179K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.7%) win rate for white (117K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.6%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-56.3%) win rate for white (730 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation, Ilundain Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.