1.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation has a 55.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 57.4%), based on 1.3K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 33% → 63%
Best in Rapid (57%), worst in Blitz (52%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation has a 42.7% (90% CI: 40.5%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K rated games from Lichess.
The Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 43.9% win rate for white (480 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (43.7%) outperforms Rapid (36.2%) by 7.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation has a 38.9% (90% CI: 34.0%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 254 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 40.2%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 480 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 39.8%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 399 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation has a 41.7% (90% CI: 37.4%-46.0%) win rate for white (350 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 41.0%-46.5%) win rate for white (862 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
The Scandinavian Defense: Schiller-Pytel Variation, Modern Variation is slightly favors black with a 42.7% (90% CI: 40.5%-45.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.