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Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation

225K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

49.4%

45%55%
Floor49.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.6%.

Measured over 225K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 5.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 225K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
225K
Best context
53.2% at 2500+ Bullet
Worst context
48.2% at 2000-2199 Rapid
Average game length
34 moves
Games that end decisively
94.7%
Draws
5.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 54.9% at 0-999, 50.2% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (106 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (83 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (478 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (380 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (68 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,620 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (1,783 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (241 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 19.3% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (4,549 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (6,381 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (1,211 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (9,274 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (17,882 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (4,034 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (303 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (15,669 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (40,870 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (7,823 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (518 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (19,193 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (41,188 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (8,204 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (242 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (18,189 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (16,989 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (2,667 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (4,103 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (1,140 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (34 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation
50.2%
Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation
49.0%
Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation
47.8%
Scandinavian Defense: Main Line
47.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Gubinsky-Melts Defense
48.5%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation scores 49.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.2% and 49.6% — from 225K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
225K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate?

Playing the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation, White wins 46.7%, draws 5.3% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 225K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 52.5% (5.3K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 49.2% in Blitz (127K games) against 49.5% in Rapid (24K games).

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 48.1%, draws 2.0% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 226 Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 48.0%, draws 1.9% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 930 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 49.7%, draws 2.5% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 3.7K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 49.1%, draws 3.2% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 47.5%, draws 4.2% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 46.4%, draws 5.0% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 65K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 45.6%, draws 5.9% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 69K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 47.1%, draws 6.7% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 38K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 48.3%, draws 8.3% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 5.3K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 41.6%, draws 3.0% and loses 55.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.1%. It rests on 115 Lichess games.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 47.5%, draws 4.0% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 73K Lichess games.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 46.3%, draws 5.8% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 127K Lichess games.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 46.1%, draws 6.7% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 24K Lichess games.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 46.5%, draws 8.9% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Wuss Variation is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 46.7% of its games and loses 48.0%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.