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Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation

5.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score60.4%Range (90% confident): 59.3% – 61.5%Based on 5.2K games
0%60.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 59.3% – 61.5%
Outcome Distribution
57.2%6.4%36.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Be2
Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation
Analyzen=5.2K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.4%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 60.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 59.3% and 61.5%), based on 5.2K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 59%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 69.2% win rate (5 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.6% win rate (39 games)
  • 1600-1799: 57.3% win rate (118 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.8% win rate (613 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.5% win rate (1,531 games)
  • 2200-2499: 58.2% win rate (2,084 games)
  • 2500+: 59.2% win rate (835 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (58%), worst in Classical (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 56.5% win rate (1,726 games)
  • Blitz: 57.5% win rate (3,108 games)
  • Rapid: 57.6% win rate (371 games)
  • Classical: 46.7% win rate (21 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.7% expected score (37 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (60 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (196 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (375 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (350 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (1,027 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (147 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (547 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.0% expected score (1,373 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.9% expected score (160 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.7% expected score (582 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (249 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack
51.7%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation
52.9%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Goteborg System
54.6%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Orthodox Attack
44.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 57.2% (90% CI: 56.0%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 58.2% win rate for white (2.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (57.5%) outperforms Rapid (57.6%) by -0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a sharpness score of 93.6 (decisive), meaning 93.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-64.7%) win rate for white, based on 118 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 51.5%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 613 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 53.4%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 58.2% (90% CI: 56.4%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 59.2% (90% CI: 56.4%-62.0%) win rate for white, based on 835 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 54.6%-58.5%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 57.5% (90% CI: 56.1%-59.0%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation has a 57.6% (90% CI: 53.4%-61.8%) win rate for white (371 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Lusophobe Variation is statistically favors white with a 57.2% (90% CI: 56.0%-58.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.