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Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation

80K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score39.1%Range (90% confident): 38.8% – 39.4%Based on 80K games
0%39.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 38.8% – 39.4%
Outcome Distribution
37.7%2.7%59.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.c4
Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation
Analyzen=80K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 39.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 38.8% and 39.4%), based on 80K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.9% win rate (58 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.5% win rate (147 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.1% win rate (618 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.2% win rate (2,801 games)
  • 1600-1799: 39.4% win rate (9,924 games)
  • 1800-1999: 35.7% win rate (25,440 games)
  • 2000-2199: 36.4% win rate (26,604 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.9% win rate (12,609 games)
  • 2500+: 41.7% win rate (1,788 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (40%), worst in UltraBullet (18%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 17.9% win rate (18 games)
  • Bullet: 40.1% win rate (25,804 games)
  • Blitz: 36.7% win rate (45,784 games)
  • Rapid: 36.3% win rate (8,059 games)
  • Classical: 32.4% win rate (324 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.3% expected score (31 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (80 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (344 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (237 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (1,384 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (1,244 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (161 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3,571 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.1% expected score (5,537 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (780 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 39.2% expected score (6,369 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 36.0% expected score (16,482 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (2,409 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 32.3% expected score (176 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 40.6% expected score (7,323 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 37.2% expected score (15,667 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 35.2% expected score (3,530 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.1% expected score (81 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (5,386 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (6,094 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (1,105 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (1,316 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (453 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack
51.7%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation
52.9%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Goteborg System
54.6%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Orthodox Attack
44.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 37.7% (90% CI: 37.4%-38.0%) win rate for white, based on 80K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 47.1% win rate for white (618 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (40.1%) outperforms Classical (32.4%) by 7.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 42.8%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 147 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 43.8%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 618 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 41.7%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 39.4% (90% CI: 38.6%-40.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 35.7% (90% CI: 35.2%-36.1%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 36.4% (90% CI: 36.0%-36.9%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 40.9% (90% CI: 40.2%-41.7%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 41.7% (90% CI: 39.7%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 40.1% (90% CI: 39.6%-40.6%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 36.7% (90% CI: 36.3%-37.0%) win rate for white (46K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 36.3% (90% CI: 35.4%-37.2%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation has a 32.4% (90% CI: 28.2%-36.7%) win rate for white (324 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Portuguese Gambit, Banker Variation is slightly favors black with a 37.7% (90% CI: 37.4%-38.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.