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Analyzer

Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer

1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score45.4%Range (90% confident): 45.3% – 45.4%Based on 1.3M games
0%45.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.3% – 45.4%
Outcome Distribution
43.4%3.9%52.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...c6
Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer
Analyzen=1.3M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 45.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.3% and 45.4%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.3% win rate (13,675 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.5% win rate (45,896 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.8% win rate (108,887 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.1% win rate (208,537 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.3% win rate (347,708 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.6% win rate (383,988 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.3% win rate (179,865 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.6% win rate (52,514 games)
  • 2500+: 50.9% win rate (6,020 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.9% win rate (277 games)
  • Bullet: 43.5% win rate (388,263 games)
  • Blitz: 43.4% win rate (760,307 games)
  • Rapid: 43.1% win rate (191,845 games)
  • Classical: 42.4% win rate (6,398 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 40.3% expected score (5,921 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (6,315 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (1,422 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (17,138 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (23,179 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (5,528 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (35,800 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (56,031 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (16,747 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.7% expected score (262 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 40.3% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (60,324 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (113,553 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (33,198 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (1,402 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.8% expected score (47 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (77,200 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (212,302 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (55,735 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (2,424 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (88,374 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (236,849 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (56,818 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (1,890 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (63,429 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (95,679 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (20,383 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (351 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (34,432 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (16,029 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (2,010 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (5,645 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (370 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack
51.7%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation
52.9%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Goteborg System
54.6%
Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Orthodox Attack
44.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Blackburne Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 43.4% (90% CI: 43.3%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.9% win rate for white (6.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (43.5%) outperforms Classical (42.4%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer?

The Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 41.3% (90% CI: 40.6%-42.0%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 43.5% (90% CI: 43.1%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 109K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.9%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 209K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 43.3% (90% CI: 43.2%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 348K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 42.6% (90% CI: 42.4%-42.7%) win rate for white, based on 384K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 43.3% (90% CI: 43.1%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 180K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 46.9% (90% CI: 42.0%-51.8%) win rate for white (277 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 43.5% (90% CI: 43.4%-43.6%) win rate for white (388K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 43.4% (90% CI: 43.3%-43.5%) win rate for white (760K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 43.1% (90% CI: 43.0%-43.3%) win rate for white (192K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer has a 42.4% (90% CI: 41.4%-43.4%) win rate for white (6.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Panov Transfer is slightly favors black with a 43.4% (90% CI: 43.3%-43.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.