271 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Wing Gambit has a 45.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 40.9% and 50.8%), based on 271 Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~20%)
Best in Classical (56%), worst in Rapid (35%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Wing Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 271 rated games from Lichess.
The Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Wing Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 58.6% win rate for white (71 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (54.5%) outperforms Blitz (49.8%) by 4.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Wing Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Wing Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 40.7%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 100 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 0.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Wing Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 46.5%-62.4%) win rate for white (104 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.
In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Wing Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 43.0%-56.6%) win rate for white (144 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
The Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Wing Gambit is statistically balanced with a 52.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-57.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.