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Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation

443K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.4%Range (90% confident): 46.2% – 46.5%Based on 443K games
0%46.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.2% – 46.5%
Outcome Distribution
44.1%4.4%51.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bg4
Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation
Analyzen=443K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 46.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.2% and 46.5%), based on 443K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.2% win rate (1,945 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.3% win rate (8,048 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.8% win rate (27,198 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.2% win rate (65,253 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.1% win rate (111,992 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.1% win rate (128,539 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.2% win rate (72,321 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.3% win rate (25,472 games)
  • 2500+: 39.0% win rate (2,700 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.4% win rate (120 games)
  • Bullet: 44.8% win rate (128,236 games)
  • Blitz: 44.1% win rate (251,816 games)
  • Rapid: 42.6% win rate (61,380 games)
  • Classical: 40.6% win rate (1,916 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,078 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (691 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (174 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (4,309 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (3,180 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (549 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (11,610 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (13,287 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (2,261 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (20,725 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (36,085 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (8,229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (176 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (24,988 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (68,419 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (17,924 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (636 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (28,394 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (78,672 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (20,631 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (822 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (22,065 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (40,230 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (9,788 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.7% expected score (235 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (12,949 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (10,699 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (1,795 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (2,118 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.4% expected score (553 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 32.0% expected score (29 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation
50.2%
Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation
49.0%
Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation
47.8%
Scandinavian Defense: Main Line
47.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Gubinsky-Melts Defense
48.5%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 443K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.4% win rate for white (25K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (46.5%) by 5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 65K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 112K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 129K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.8%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 39.1%-54.0%) win rate for white (120 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.3%) win rate for white (128K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate for white (252K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.5%) win rate for white (61K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-53.5%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation, Gipslis Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.