15K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 45.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.9% and 46.2%), based on 15K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 44% → 57%
Best in Blitz (45%), worst in Rapid (40%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 15K rated games from Lichess.
The Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.2% win rate for white (1.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (56.8%) outperforms Classical (54.6%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 722 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.3%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 51.6%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 47.5%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 403 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.9%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.2%) win rate for white (7.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a 56.8% (90% CI: 55.4%-58.2%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
The Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.