Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation
15K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
45.5%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 46.2%.
Measured over 15K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 15K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 15K
- Best context
- 49.8% at 2000-2199 Blitz
- Worst context
- 39.7% at 1600-1799 Rapid
- Average game length
- 29 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.8%
- Draws
- 3.2%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 44.3% at 0-999, 60.9% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (189 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (435 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (98 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (325 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (1,075 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.8% expected score (420 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (479 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (1,533 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (841 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (496 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (1,614 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (874 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 28.5% expected score (31 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (412 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (1,447 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (762 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (30 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (428 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (1,066 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (437 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (443 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (552 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 36.2% expected score (82 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (240 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (152 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation scores 45.5% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 44.9% and 46.2% — from 15K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 15K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate?
Playing the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation, Black wins 43.9%, draws 3.2% and loses 52.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 15K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation perform best?
The Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation performs best for Black at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 47.4% (1.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 47.0% in Blitz (7.9K games) against 41.5% in Rapid (3.5K games).
How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation?
The Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 43.5%, draws 1.5% and loses 55.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.2%. It rests on 722 Lichess games, which average 24 moves.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 43.2%, draws 2.6% and loses 54.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 44.9%, draws 2.5% and loses 52.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 2.9K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 43.8%, draws 3.1% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.4%. It rests on 3.0K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 43.5%, draws 3.6% and loses 52.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.3%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 44.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 52.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.9%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 44.8%, draws 5.2% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 41.2%, draws 4.8% and loses 54.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.6%. It rests on 403 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 45.2%, draws 2.4% and loses 52.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.4%. It rests on 3.0K Lichess games.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 45.3%, draws 3.4% and loses 51.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 7.9K Lichess games.
What is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 39.8%, draws 3.4% and loses 56.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.5%. It rests on 3.5K Lichess games.
Is the Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation a good opening?
The Scandinavian Defense: Anderssen Counterattack, Collijn Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 43.9% of its games and loses 52.9%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.