What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 55.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.0% and 55.1%), based on 5.1M Lichess games.
5.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 55.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.0% and 55.1%), based on 5.1M Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 53% → 49%
Best in UltraBullet (59%), worst in Blitz (53%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.1M rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.6% win rate for white (445K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (59.2%) outperforms Blitz (52.9%) by 6.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.4%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 184K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.5%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 445K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.4%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 766K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2M Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 904K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 390K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 134K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 59.2% (90% CI: 58.0%-60.3%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 53.2% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.3%) win rate for white (1.6M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.0%) win rate for white (2.7M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.7%) win rate for white (711K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.9%-56.0%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.
The Queen's Gambit Accepted is statistically favors white with a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.