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Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation

74K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.8%Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 48.1%Based on 74K games
0%47.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 48.1%
Outcome Distribution
45.8%4.0%50.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Be7
Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation
Analyzen=74K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 47.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.5% and 48.1%), based on 74K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.5% win rate (2,108 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.4% win rate (4,864 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.4% win rate (9,357 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.6% win rate (15,752 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (19,877 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (15,431 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.1% win rate (5,422 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.7% win rate (1,145 games)
  • 2500+: 42.2% win rate (40 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (28%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 28.4% win rate (46 games)
  • Bullet: 46.5% win rate (17,228 games)
  • Blitz: 45.8% win rate (40,731 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (15,504 games)
  • Classical: 46.4% win rate (487 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (541 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (1,106 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (457 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (1,455 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (2,486 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (893 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (2,632 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (4,873 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (1,778 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.6% expected score (67 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 18.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (3,720 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (8,813 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (3,062 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (128 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (4,020 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (11,159 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (4,519 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (177 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (2,804 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (8,866 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (3,684 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (76 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,517 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (2,865 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (1,028 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (503 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (559 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (83 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ponziani Opening
51.8%
Variations (5)
Ponziani Opening: Jaenisch Counterattack
49.8%
Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit
48.9%
Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit
45.2%
Ponziani Opening: Spanish Variation
46.3%
Ponziani Opening: Vukovic Gambit
42.1%
Analyze Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate?

The Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 74K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation perform best?

The Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (9.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.0%) outperforms Classical (46.8%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation?

The Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.6%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.4%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.5%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 43.1%-50.5%) win rate for white (487 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation a good opening?

The Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.