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Analyzer

Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation

18K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.1%Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 48.7%Based on 18K games
0%48.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 48.7%
Outcome Distribution
46.2%3.7%50.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nge7
Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation
Analyzen=18K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 48.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.5% and 48.7%), based on 18K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 43% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.7% win rate (1,088 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.2% win rate (1,799 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (2,894 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.8% win rate (3,431 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.3% win rate (3,610 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.2% win rate (3,104 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (1,265 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.4% win rate (469 games)
  • 2500+: 38.1% win rate (47 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 47.4% win rate (4,197 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (9,976 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (3,433 games)
  • Classical: 41.7% win rate (98 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (206 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (626 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (254 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (393 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (1,015 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (380 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (797 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (1,520 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (557 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (758 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (1,965 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (676 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.4% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (660 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (2,146 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (777 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (598 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (1,860 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (638 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (491 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (636 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (138 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (256 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (200 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ponziani Opening
51.8%
Variations (5)
Ponziani Opening: Jaenisch Counterattack
49.8%
Ponziani Opening: Neumann Gambit
48.9%
Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit
45.2%
Ponziani Opening: Romanishin Variation
50.2%
Ponziani Opening: Spanish Variation
46.3%
Analyze Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate?

The Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation perform best?

The Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.0%) outperforms Classical (54.8%) by -4.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation?

The Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 46.5%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 469 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.7%) win rate for white (4.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.8%) win rate for white (10.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.3%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation a good opening?

The Ponziani Opening: Réti Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.