Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack
12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
49.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.5%.
Measured over 12K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 12K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 12K
- Best context
- 56.9% at 1200-1399 Rapid
- Worst context
- 43.1% at 1800-1999 Bullet
- Average game length
- 32 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.8%
- Draws
- 3.2%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 48.5% at 0-999, 42.4% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (227 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (640 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (177 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (484 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (1,191 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (382 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (658 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,323 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (516 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (766 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,203 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (402 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (674 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (876 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (266 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (529 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (560 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (119 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (343 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (107 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (119 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack scores 49.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.0% and 50.5% — from 12K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 12K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate?
Playing the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack, White wins 48.2%, draws 3.2% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 12K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack perform best?
The Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack performs best for White at 1000-1199, with an Expected Score of 52.1% (2.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 49.9% in Blitz (5.9K games) against 52.6% in Rapid (1.9K games).
How sharp is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack?
The Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 46.8%, draws 2.8% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 50.4%, draws 3.4% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 49.8%, draws 2.7% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 48.5%, draws 3.7% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 45.9%, draws 3.1% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 45.1%, draws 3.6% and loses 51.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 47.6%, draws 3.4% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 479 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 49.8%, draws 2.7% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 130 Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 46.9%, draws 2.3% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 3.8K Lichess games.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 48.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 5.9K Lichess games.
What is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 50.6%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games.
Is the Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack a good opening?
The Ponziani Opening: Ponziani Countergambit, Schmidt Attack is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 48.2% of its games and loses 48.6%. It performs best at 1000-1199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.