Modern Defense: Bishop Attack

558K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.9%Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 51.0%Based on 558K games
0%50.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 51.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.2%3.4%47.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bc4
Modern Defense: Bishop Attack
Analyzen=558K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 51.0%), based on 558K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.0% win rate (10,842 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.2% win rate (24,421 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.9% win rate (56,781 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (101,474 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.1% win rate (131,219 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (121,309 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.0% win rate (77,159 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.7% win rate (30,982 games)
  • 2500+: 49.6% win rate (3,778 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (50%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.7% win rate (2,403 games)
  • Bullet: 48.7% win rate (197,863 games)
  • Blitz: 49.5% win rate (289,782 games)
  • Rapid: 49.5% win rate (65,877 games)
  • Classical: 50.1% win rate (2,040 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 15.5% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (3,419 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (5,331 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (2,051 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.4% expected score (112 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (7,823 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (12,842 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (3,570 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (74 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (383 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (17,449 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (31,016 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (7,749 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (184 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (1,197 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (30,479 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (55,381 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (13,950 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (467 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (504 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (38,294 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (73,083 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (18,619 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (719 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (136 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (39,605 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (67,019 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (14,089 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (460 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (36,131 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (35,808 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (5,072 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (113 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (21,294 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (8,899 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (771 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (3,369 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (403 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Modern Defense: Bishop Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate?

The Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 558K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack perform best?

The Modern Defense: Bishop Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (77K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (46.7%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack?

The Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 101K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 131K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 121K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.0%-48.4%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white (198K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate for white (290K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.9%) win rate for white (66K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.9%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Modern Defense: Bishop Attack a good opening?

The Modern Defense: Bishop Attack is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.