What is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern has a 54.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 57.3%), based on 902 Lichess games.
Modern Defense: Anti-Modern
902 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
PlayableWhite Expected Score54.6%Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 57.3%Based on 902 games
0%54.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 57.3%
Outcome Distribution
53.1%2.9%44.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Qe2
Modern Defense: Anti-Modern
Analyzen=902
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%
White Win% by Rating
Improves with rating: 33% → 55%
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 1200-1399: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
- 1400-1599: 54.8% win rate (14 games)
- 1600-1799: 56.3% win rate (42 games)
- 1800-1999: 57.1% win rate (129 games)
- 2000-2199: 51.9% win rate (269 games)
- 2200-2499: 51.0% win rate (337 games)
- 2500+: 55.3% win rate (108 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in Rapid (57%), worst in Bullet (52%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
- Bullet: 52.1% win rate (429 games)
- Blitz: 53.5% win rate (437 games)
- Rapid: 57.3% win rate (36 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 67.8% expected score (21 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 65.5% expected score (50 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (72 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (85 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (172 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (170 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (159 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (103 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Modern Defense48.7%
Analyze Modern Defense: Anti-Modern PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern win rate?
The Modern Defense: Anti-Modern has a 53.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 902 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern perform best?
The Modern Defense: Anti-Modern performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 57.1% win rate for white (129 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern better in blitz or rapid?
Blitz (53.5%) outperforms Bullet (52.1%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern?
The Modern Defense: Anti-Modern has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
What is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern has a 57.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-64.1%) win rate for white, based on 129 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.
What is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern has a 51.9% (90% CI: 46.9%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 269 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
What is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern has a 51.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 337 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
What is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern win rate at 2500+ Elo?
At 2500+ Elo, the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern has a 55.3% (90% CI: 47.4%-63.0%) win rate for white, based on 108 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
What is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern has a 52.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-56.1%) win rate for white (429 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.
What is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern has a 53.5% (90% CI: 49.6%-57.4%) win rate for white (437 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
Is the Modern Defense: Anti-Modern a good opening?
The Modern Defense: Anti-Modern is statistically balanced with a 53.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-55.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.