King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit
1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
51.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 53.8%.
Measured over 1.6K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.6K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 1.6K
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 31 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 97.0%
- Draws
- 3.0%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 52.4% at 0-999, 57.7% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (18 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (65 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (67 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (62 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (40 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (156 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (65 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (63 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (178 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (76 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (75 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (82 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (80 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (92 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (266 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (35 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (32 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (78 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit scores 51.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.7% and 53.8% — from 1.6K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 1.6K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate?
Playing the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit, White wins 50.2%, draws 3.0% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit perform best?
The King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit performs best for White at 1400-1599, with an Expected Score of 55.4% (262 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 51.6% in Blitz (860 games) against 50.1% in Rapid (398 games).
How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit?
The King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 50.5%, draws 2.9% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 156 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 54.5%, draws 1.7% and loses 43.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.4%. It rests on 262 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 51.8%, draws 3.9% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 320 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 50.3%, draws 3.5% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 240 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 49.5%, draws 3.3% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 375 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 42.7%, draws 4.4% and loses 52.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 145 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 52.6%, draws 1.8% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.5%. It rests on 359 Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 49.9%, draws 3.4% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 860 Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 48.4%, draws 3.4% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 398 Lichess games.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit a good opening?
The King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, Basman Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 50.2% of its games and loses 46.7%. It performs best at 1400-1599. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.